Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-14 0.000999 0.001140 0.001282 0.001435 0.001594 0.001754 0.001927
2025-12-21 0.000806 0.001011 0.001224 0.001459 0.001709 0.001966 0.002248
2025-12-28 0.000612 0.000860 0.001125 0.001425 0.001752 0.002093 0.002472
2026-01-04 0.000478 0.000757 0.001067 0.001427 0.001826 0.002246 0.002720
2026-01-11 0.000357 0.000655 0.001001 0.001412 0.001874 0.002369 0.002930
2026-01-18 0.000260 0.000569 0.000944 0.001401 0.001923 0.002486 0.003131
2026-01-25 0.000156 0.000458 0.000848 0.001337 0.001906 0.002529 0.003247
2026-02-01 0.000091 0.000384 0.000789 0.001312 0.001930 0.002612 0.003403
2026-02-08 0.000050 0.000334 0.000756 0.001315 0.001982 0.002724 0.003590
2026-02-15 0.000023 0.000296 0.000735 0.001328 0.002045 0.002846 0.003786
2026-02-22 0.000007 0.000268 0.000724 0.001353 0.002119 0.002980 0.003993
2026-03-01 NaN 0.000225 0.000688 0.001343 0.002151 0.003064 0.004142
2026-03-08 NaN 0.000161 0.000623 0.001309 0.002171 0.003155 0.004324
2026-03-15 NaN 0.000129 0.000606 0.001337 0.002265 0.003334 0.004607
2026-03-22 NaN 0.000080 0.000548 0.001307 0.002290 0.003431 0.004799
2026-03-29 NaN 0.000051 0.000516 0.001311 0.002354 0.003574 0.005041
2026-04-05 NaN 0.000024 0.000475 0.001297 0.002396 0.003688 0.005250
2026-04-12 NaN 0.000006 0.000438 0.001287 0.002439 0.003804 0.005460
2026-04-19 NaN NaN 0.000370 0.001226 0.002415 0.003839 0.005575
2026-04-26 NaN NaN 0.000330 0.001202 0.002436 0.003925 0.005748
2026-05-03 NaN NaN 0.000308 0.001204 0.002491 0.004049 0.005964
2026-05-10 NaN NaN 0.000293 0.001217 0.002558 0.004189 0.006195
2026-05-17 NaN NaN 0.000286 0.001242 0.002639 0.004343 0.006444